Quantifying Uncertainty in Predictions of Invasiveness

نویسندگان
چکیده

برای دانلود باید عضویت طلایی داشته باشید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

Quantifying the Uncertainty in Climate Predictions

Uncertainties in projections of future climate change caused by an increase in greenhouse gas concentrations have been a subject of intensive study in recent years. However, in most cases, uncertainties in parameters and characteristics of models used to obtain those projections, such as climate sensitivity or radiative forcing, are described only by ranges of possible values. The resulting unc...

متن کامل

Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon ‘dieback’ Published online

One con fate of t *Autho Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxon OX10 8BB, UK Department of Animal and Plant Sciences, University of Sheffield, Western Bank, Sheffield S10 2TN, UK Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter, Devon EX1 3PB, UK Met Office Hadley Centre, JCHMR, Benson Lane, Wallingford, Oxon OX10 8BB, UK School of Engineering, Computer Science and Mathe...

متن کامل

Towards quantifying uncertainty in predictions of Amazon ‘dieback’

Simulations with the Hadley Centre general circulation model (HadCM3), including carbon cycle model and forced by a 'business-as-usual' emissions scenario, predict a rapid loss of Amazonian rainforest from the middle of this century onwards. The robustness of this projection to both uncertainty in physical climate drivers and the formulation of the land surface scheme is investigated. We analys...

متن کامل

Uncertainty in QSAR predictions.

It is relevant to consider uncertainty in individual predictions when quantitative structure-activity (or property) relationships (QSARs) are used to support decisions of high societal concern. Successful communication of uncertainty in the integration of QSARs in chemical safety assessment under the EU Registration, Evaluation, Authorisation and Restriction of Chemicals (REACH) system can be f...

متن کامل

Quantifying uncertainty for predictions with model error in non-Gaussian systems with intermittency

This paper discusses a range of important mathematical issues arising in applications of a newly emerging stochastic-statistical framework for quantifying and mitigating uncertainties associated with prediction of partially observed and imperfectly modelled complex turbulent dynamical systems. The need for such a framework is particularly severe in climate science where the true climate system ...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Biological Invasions

سال: 2006

ISSN: 1387-3547,1573-1464

DOI: 10.1007/s10530-004-6703-z